Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.433858 0.500810 0.573724 0.658903 0.755554 0.861680 0.986907
2025-08-31 0.307934 0.395970 0.501433 0.636504 0.804267 1.005099 1.262992
2025-09-07 0.259911 0.361470 0.491776 0.669928 0.905660 1.205212 1.612732
2025-09-14 0.209766 0.312040 0.451168 0.652159 0.932545 1.306844 1.840700
2025-09-21 0.173085 0.273362 0.417017 0.634816 0.952920 1.395978 2.053947
2025-09-28 0.145793 0.243211 0.389486 0.621129 0.973623 1.483425 2.267954
2025-10-05 0.130958 0.229373 0.383431 0.636925 1.036747 1.634204 2.582303
2025-10-12 0.121985 0.223328 0.388056 0.668598 1.125468 1.828256 2.974165
2025-10-19 0.111319 0.212753 0.383742 0.684740 1.190138 1.989296 3.326205
2025-10-26 0.100486 0.200250 0.374461 0.691055 1.238432 2.126991 3.650081
2025-11-02 0.089989 0.186813 0.361792 0.689739 1.272948 2.243781 3.946986
2025-11-09 0.079705 0.172297 0.345383 0.679739 1.290915 2.333444 4.203950
2025-11-16 0.070523 0.158885 0.329848 0.670366 1.310271 2.428837 4.481254
2025-11-23 0.061006 0.143443 0.308692 0.648295 1.304709 2.480917 4.688451
2025-11-30 0.058673 0.142833 0.316442 0.682335 1.405711 2.727796 5.254137
2025-12-07 0.051450 0.130422 0.298836 0.664267 1.405718 2.791864 5.495516
2025-12-14 0.045202 0.119250 0.282402 0.646630 1.404513 2.852766 5.734008
2025-12-21 0.040041 0.109825 0.268532 0.632708 1.409082 2.924120 5.995682
2025-12-28 0.037695 0.106920 0.268704 0.648774 1.475946 3.119119 6.504120
2026-01-04 0.036643 0.107132 0.275952 0.680987 1.578883 3.391008 7.177320
2026-01-11 0.034604 0.104472 0.276189 0.697402 1.649383 3.602723 7.744840
2026-01-18 0.032134 0.100279 0.272270 0.703825 1.698575 3.774281 8.242256
2026-01-25 0.029468 0.095123 0.265373 0.702486 1.730289 3.911571 8.677905